Schematex
eventtree·IEC 62502 / process QRA·process-safety, oil-gas·complexity 2/3·since v0.8.0

Flammable release event tree (process QRA)

A loss-of-containment release branched through detection, isolation, and ignition. The engine computes each outcome frequency — safe shutdown, jet fire, dispersion, vapour-cloud explosion — and flags the dominant one.

For the process-safety engineer

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Flammable release Event tree for "Loss of containment" (f₀ = 0.02): 3 functions, 4 sequences. Safe shutdown: 0.01197. Jet fire: 0.00513. Large dispersion: 0.0019. Vapour cloud explosion: 0.001. Dominant sequence: "Safe shutdown" [1s 2s 3s] at 0.01197. Flammable release Initiating Event Gas detection alarms Emergency isolation No ignition source Outcome Frequency Loss of containment f₀ = 0.02 Success (1s) 0.95 Success (2s) 0.9 Success (3s) 0.7 Failure (3f) 0.3 Failure (2f) 0.1 Failure (1f) 0.05 Safe shutdown 0.01197 · 1s 2s 3s Jet fire 0.00513 · 1s 2s 3f Large dispersion 0.0019 · 1s 2f Vapour cloud explosion 0.001 · 1f
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What this shows

The quantitative risk assessment (QRA) event tree a process-safety study runs after a HAZOP flags a credible leak. The initiating event — a flammable release at 0.02 per year — is challenged by three safety functions in order: gas detection, emergency isolation, and the chance of no ignition source. The IGN function reads as a success when there is no ignition (s), so its failure leg f is where the fire or explosion lives.

The value is the computed end-state frequencies. The engine propagates the release frequency through each branch's success/failure probability to size each consequence — safe shutdown, jet fire, large dispersion, vapour-cloud explosion — and accents the dominant sequence in red, the same role the single point of failure plays in a fault tree. That ranked, numeric reading is what turns a forking ladder into an analysis.

Event tree syntax